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Annual Traders' Forum 2010 - Commodity Markets - Price Risk Management 23 - 24 September 2010, Moscow, Russia

VII Annual Traders' Forum
Commodity Markets - Price Risk Management
23-24 September, Moscow

The 2010 event promises to be productive in the following ways:

  • Dynamic and Intensive Networking: Traders, risk managers and financiers from leading FSU and European coal, crude oil, natural gas, metals and agricultural production will all be included. In addition to several trading companies, there will also be representatives from banks and exchanges that are all conveniently located in the same place, at the same time!
  • Something new! The day prior to the forum 2 workshops on price risk management, the following sectors of commodity trading will be discussed: Crude Oil and Coal; and Metals.
  • Price Trends and Forecasts of Analysts: Topics will include foreign exchange proceeds hedging, accounting, and taxation of hedging operations.
  • Learning from Other's Mistakes: Many others have unsuccessfully hedged. This may sound like an absurdity, but it is a reality for many companies. What is the basis of such frequent cases and how can the situation be changed?
  • Discussion of Practical Aspects of Price Risk Management Organization in a Company: Do corporate traders prefer swaps, futures, or optional strategy?

    This event, presenting the experience of various companies, will be of utmost practical value to those who only consider price risk management and to those who already have some expertise.
    The round table will focus on hedging tools specifically for:
  • oil and gas sector
  • aviation and bunker companies
  • shipping companies
  • agricultural producers
  • metal industry and mining companies

    In the past few years hedging has been a very popular topic for discussion. We have seen oil prices soar to 7 per barrel and crash to per barrel, we have witnessed a 50-70% drop in metal and coal prices in less than two years. Many risk managers are facing the most challenging questions of their career as to whether it is feasible to continue to manage price risk in such an uncertain, volatile market. At first sight it is pretty obvious that these are exactly the markets from which one should try to protect oneself. However, the complexity of corporate communication, restricted cash limits for collateral management, the constrained credit environment and higher regulatory requirements make such a task a very involved process.

    23 September, Thursday

    09.30-13.00

    Crude Oil and Coal: Basics of price risk management
    Facilitator – Konstantin Babourine, TradeCruiser

    14:00-18:00

    Metals: Basics of price risk management
    Facilitator – Katri-Ann Malin, TradeCruiser

    24 September 2010. Friday

    9:15-10:45

    Session 1: Overview of major commodity markets. Expert opinions and projections of price trends Overview of production and consumption in major commodity markets, investment flows, and commodity price indexes. Macroeconomic performance indicators and forecasts provided by senior analysts of leading Russian and International investment banks.

    The key focus will be on coal, crude oil, natural gas, metals and agricultural products. The session will include 4 brief presentations. Priority will be given to representatives of the banks sponsoring the Forum (in 2009, these were VTB Capital, BNP Paribas, Morgan Stanley, Barclays Capital, and Fortis Bank Nederland).

    Panel discussion with involvement of commodity and trading companies:

    • Do we need to hedge? The current commodity markets and how it affects risk management concepts for producers, consumers and traders in commodities
    • The global economy and how it shapes the market and price trends. Correlation between the equity, foreign exchange and commodity markets. Links between the physical and the stock markets

    11:15-13:00

    Session 2:
    Price Risk Management in the CIS and Globally: Current Status and Development Trends

    Panel discussion with contributions from representatives of exchanges, banks, physical traders and commodity purchasing managers:

    • Commodity futures in the Russian and international markets. Sales of commodities on the exchange floor
    • Selecting the right instruments. Who should use the various instruments available, and why?
    • Advantages and disadvantages of the instruments traded on the exchange market and over-the-counter
    • What do traders prefer? Swaps vs Futures
    • What do corporations prefer? Swaps vs Spreads
    • Have end consumers, such as filling stations, airlines, bakeries or automobile manufacturers, finally entered the exchange markets? What prevents consumers from hedging their price risks?
    • Price transparency in the domestic market. Has the government achieved its goals?
     

    14.15-16:00

    Session 3:
    Practical aspects of setting up price risk management

    Real life experience and case studies shared by the participants of the round table: hedging price risk in the coal, crude oil, natural gas, metals and agricultural products markets. Participants of the discussion will include risk managers, financial officers and traders from commodity companies:

    • Important examples of practical risk management in commodity markets
    • Hedging reserves, cargo in custody, and refining margin. Identifying the competitive price in tenders etc.
    • Financial planning and operations of a company with a fixed budget in a volatile market
    • Identifying and evaluating all potential risks of a producer, a trader, or a consumer of commodities
    • Risk management process organisation for ‘dummies’. Where to start?
    • Setting up a risk management system in a company. Experience sharing from participants

    16.30-18:00

    Session 4:
    Hedging revenue in foreign currency. Practical accounting, taxation and legal regulation of hedging operations

    A discussion on the perception and interpretation of laws and regulations with contributions from auditing and consulting companies, lawyers, banks, exchanges, traders, legislators and fiscal authorities. Current practical experience:

    • What are the lessons of the ‘Ukrainian Hryvnia-2009’ and how much did it cost?
    • Latent inflation risks and currency hedging. Important aspects of foreign currency regulations affecting hedging operations
    • Legal regulation of derivative transactions. How do Russian companies trade with Western and Russian counterparties in exchange or over-the-counter markets?
    • Derivatives in international and Russian accounting standards
    • Taxation of derivative transactions